The Lombard Review

Special Reports

Special editions from The Lombard Review: longer analysis tied to events, seasons and market turning points.

Special Report

Boxing Day: The year-end squeeze in money markets

Bank balance-sheet shrink at year-end

Special Report

Christmas: Is the Santa rally real?

Seasonal anomaly significance

Special Report

Cyber Monday: Record spending on borrowed money

BNPL shifts consumption forward

Special Report

Black Friday: Retailers finally have the right amount of stock

Lean stock restores margin

Special Report

Thanksgiving: Bond investors finally have something to be thankful for

Duration rally eases conditions

Special Report

Diwali: India's festive boom runs on credit

Credit elasticity of festive spend

Special Report

Singles' Day: China's shoppers have lost their nerve

Deflation depresses spending

Special Report

Halloween: The zombie companies are rising

Interest coverage below one

Special Report

Anniversary: Our first year, graded

Calls vs realised curve

Special Report

Labor Day: The job market is cooling the right way

Vacancies fall without unemployment spike

Special Report

Prime Day: What Amazon's discounts say about inflation

Discounting confirms goods deflation

Special Report

Independence Day: Washington is paying factories to come home

IRA/CHIPS lower hurdle rates

Special Report

Memorial Day: The debt deal is done. Now comes the bill

Ceiling resolution reprices bills

Special Report

Tax Day: What April's tax cheques say about the debt ceiling

Tax receipts nowcast Treasury cash

Special Report

Valentine's Day: Markets still love rate cuts. The Fed doesn't love them back

Markets price cuts Fed won't deliver

Special Report

Super Bowl: $7m for 30 seconds, and what it says about confidence

Ad spend as confidence gauge

Special Report

Lunar New Year: China's reopening lifts the yuan

Reopening flows strengthen yuan

Special Report

New Year: Everyone expects a recession. That's the warning sign

Crowded forecasts underperform

Special Report

New Year's Eve: The year the classic portfolio failed

Stock-bond correlation turns positive

Special Report

Boxing Day: The $816bn problem of returned presents

Reverse logistics erode margins

Special Report

Christmas: Why markets go quiet — and fragile — at year-end

Year-end balance-sheet constraints

Special Report

Cyber Monday: What the discounts say about inflation

Online price indices lead CPI goods

Special Report

Black Friday: Shop now, pay later, default sooner

Revolving credit funds holiday spend

Special Report

Thanksgiving: Why your turkey cost 20% more

Avian-flu supply shock hits food margins

Special Report

Singles' Day: Alibaba stops showing its numbers

Disclosure silence signals weak consumer

Special Report

Halloween: The scariest year for bonds in memory

Fat tails in Treasury returns

Special Report

Diwali: India's gold habit is weighing on the rupee

Festive gold imports widen current-account deficit