The Lombard Review
Markets & Finance

Tariffs are now funding the government

Customs receipts fund deficit

A Maersk container ship at the Hai Phong international container terminal, Vietnam
A Maersk container ship at the Hai Phong international container terminal, VietnamPhoto: Nathan.cima / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Official Treasury Department receipts for fiscal year 2025 revealed an extraordinary, historic fiscal transformation: federal border duties generated a staggering $195 billion in gross customs collections, transforming tariffs into the fourth-largest source of federal sovereign revenue.

The U.S. Capitol at night
The U.S. Capitol at nightPhoto: Diliff / Wikimedia Commons, Public domain

The Structural Revenue Substitution

Border duties now generate more revenue for the federal government than the entire federal excise tax system and customs duties combined in prior decades. In Washington’s fiscal calculus, tariffs have ceased to be temporary diplomatic negotiating levers; they have become an indispensable fiscal lifeline funding nearly ten per cent of the federal deficit. Customs receipts have effectively been integrated into general budget outlays.

The U.S. Treasury Building, Washington
The U.S. Treasury Building, WashingtonPhoto: MeanieHyaena / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0

The Sovereign Addiction

This revenue transformation creates an acute fiscal addiction. Bipartisan lawmakers who criticized the economic distortions of border taxes have quietly grown dependent on the $16 billion monthly cash infusion to avoid legislating unpopular domestic tax hikes or spending cuts. Tariffs generating $195 billion annually have permanently transformed federal finance, addicting Washington to border tax extraction and ensuring that protectionist policies will endure long after initial diplomatic disputes fade.